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Max Pain and the Put-Call Ratio

Two popular sentiment numbers — how they're calculated, what they might tell you, and why to treat them with care.

Lesson 12 of 127 min read

Max Pain: where would option buyers be hurt most?

Here's the theory. At expiry, option sellers (writers) pay buyers whatever the ITM options are worth. Writers are often large, well-funded players. So — the theory goes — the market tends to drift towards the expiry price where writers pay out the least. That price is called .

Calculating it, step by step

Take a toy chain with five strikes and the number of open contracts (in lakh units):

StrikeCall open interestPut open interest
22,2001050
22,3002060
22,4004040
22,5006015
22,6005010

For each possible expiry price, add up what writers would have to pay. If NIFTY expires at 22,400:

  • Calls at 22,200 pay 200 points × 10 = 2,000; calls at 22,300 pay 100 × 20 = 2,000 → 4,000
  • Puts at 22,500 pay 100 × 15 = 1,500; puts at 22,600 pay 200 × 10 = 2,000 → 3,500
  • Total: 7,500 (lakh rupees) = ₹75 crore

Do this for every strike:

If NIFTY expires atWriters pay (₹ crore)
22,200225
22,300110
22,40075 ← least
22,500120
22,600240

Max pain is 22,400: the expiry price that hurts option buyers the most (and writers the least).

The Put-Call Ratio (PCR)

PCR = total put activity ÷ total call activity

It's usually calculated on open interest; this site calculates it on volume (see below). In our toy chain: puts 175 ÷ calls 180 ≈ 0.97.

How traders read it — often as a contrarian signal:

PCRWhat it suggestsContrarian reading
Very high (above 1.3)Lots of put activity — heavy fear or heavy put writingMarket may be oversold; a bounce is possible
Around 1BalancedNo strong signal
Very low (below 0.7)Lots of call activity — heavy optimismMarket may be overbought; a pullback is possible

On optionchain.in

Our data feed doesn't include open interest, so the PCR here is calculated on volume — total put volume ÷ total call volume for the expiry. Volume shows where trading activity is happening today, which reacts faster than OI but is also noisier. The Option Chain footer shows PCR (Volume), Max Pain and ATM IV, and the Volume and Volume Change pages show where activity is building strike by strike.

Quick check

Using the toy chain, why is 22,600 a bad expiry for option writers?